整合优化和机器学习来估计页岩砂储中的水电阻和和
Muhammad A El Hameedy1, Walid M Mabrouk2, Ahmed M Metwally2
1Department of Geophysics, Faculty of Science, Cairo university, Giza, 12613, Egypt. mashraf@sci.cu.edu.eg.
Scientific reports
|February 11, 2026
概括
本研究引入了一个数据驱动的框架,使用数值优化和机器学习 (ML) 准确估计形成水电阻 (Rw) 和预测页岩砂储水中的水和 (Sw),克服数据稀缺的挑战.
科学领域:
- 石油地质物理学 地质物理学
- 机器学习应用 机器学习应用
- 储水池的表征 储水池的表征
背景情况:
- 由于复杂的粘土矿物学,岩砂储水对传统评估方法构成重大挑战.
- 数据稀缺性往往限制了形成水电阻 (Rw) 和水和 (Sw) 估计的准确性.
- 现有的石化物理工作流程可能是昂贵和耗时的,严重依赖于核心分析.
研究的目的:
- 开发一个综合的,数据驱动的框架,准确估计Rw和预测Sw在页岩砂储存.
- 通过协同方法克服数据稀缺所带来的局限性.
- 提高石化物理工作流程的可靠性和可扩展性.
主要方法:
- 严格预处理来自多个井的井日志数据.
- 评估四个数值优化算法 (威尔,内尔德-米德) 以建立一个物理约束的Rw.
- 训练和验证各种机器学习模型 (随机森林,CatBoost,XGBoost,ANN,LSTM) 使用优化的Rw作为Sw预测的伪核心标签.
- 应用5倍交叉验证协议用于模型评估.
主要成果:
- 威尔和内尔德-米德优化算法准确地恢复了真实Rw,其根平均平方误差 (RMSE) 低,为1×10−4.4.
- 机器学习模型,特别是LSTM,CatBoost和XGBoost,实现了对SW的高预测准确性.
- 顶级模型在盲测试井上显示了高达0.944的确定系数 (R2),平均绝对误差 (MAE) 和RMSE分别低于0.03和0.050.
结论:
- 综合框架有效地将优化衍生物理与ML驱动的预测相结合,以改进水库特征.
- 这种方法为传统方法提供了具有成本效益和可扩展性的替代方案,减少了对核心分析的依赖.
- 该方法提高了在具有挑战性的页岩砂储层中对现场碳化合物估计的准确性.
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