一个多策略增强的鱼优化算法长期短期内存-应用到短期电力负载预测微电网建筑的预测.
Lili Qu1, Qingfang Teng1, Hao Mai1
1School of Automation and Electrical Engineering, Lanzhou Jiaotong University, Lanzhou 730070, China.
Sensors (Basel, Switzerland)
|February 13, 2026
概括
这项研究引入了一种混合模型,用于准确预测微电网中的短期电荷. 该方法结合了CEEMD,WOA和LSTM,以提高预测精度和提高电力系统稳定的效率.
科学领域:
- 电气工程 电气工程
- 人工智能的人工智能
- 时间序列分析时间序列分析
背景情况:
- 准确的短期电力负载预测对于电力系统安全和能源效率至关重要.
- 电荷数据表现出固有的随机性,非静止性和非线性.
- 现有的预测方法可能会与微电网负载模式的复杂性作斗争.
研究的目的:
- 开发一种新的混合模型,用于精确高效的微电网短期电力负载预测.
- 改进长短期记忆 (LSTM) 神经网络的优化,用于负载预测.
- 提高微电网负载预测的稳定性和可靠性.
主要方法:
- 补充集体实证模式分解 (CEEMD) 用于分解电荷时间序列.
- 一个多策略增强的鱼优化算法 (WOA) 具有混乱的初始化和反向学习优化了LSTM模型参数.
- 单个LSTM模型被训练为每个分解的组件,和预测被汇总.
主要成果:
- 拟议的CEEMD-WOA-LSTM混合模型在案例研究中显示出高预测准确度.
- 增强的WOA有效地避免了局部最佳值,并改善了参数搜索功能.
- 该方法被证明是可靠的微电网负载预测使用UC圣地亚哥数据.
结论:
- 混合CEEMD-WOA-LSTM模型为微电网中高精度的短期电力负载预测提供了可靠的解决方案.
- 这种方法为微电网系统规划和稳定的运营管理提供了坚实的基础.
- 集成先进的分解和优化技术显著提高了预测性能.
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