对政治未来的希望,乐观和期望
Matthew Barnfield1, Rob Johns2
1School of Politics and International Relations, Queen Mary University of London, London, UK.
概括
政治期望是由乐观和希望驱动的. 乐观影响着对社会结果的看法,而希望塑造了党派选举信念,特别是在充满希望的个人中.
科学领域:
- 政治心理学 政治心理学
- 社会心理学 社会心理学
- 行为经济学是一种行为经济学.
背景情况:
- 政治行为受到未来期望的重大影响.
- 了解这些期望的心理驱动因素对于政治学至关重要.
- 把乐观与希望区分开来,可以了解未来的不同前景.
研究的目的:
- 调查乐观和希望在塑造政治期望中的独特心理倾向.
- 检查它们对社会价值期望和选举期望的影响.
- 探索外部信息如何调节这些影响.
主要方法:
- 在英国进行了一项代表性样本调查实验.
- 预先注册的假设被评估为乐观和希望.
- 实验操纵涉及从民意调查和专家评论中呈现积极信息.
主要成果:
- 发现乐观情绪对社会结果的价值期望产生了积极的影响.
- 希望被确定为选举预期中党派偏见的关键驱动因素.
- 希望更高的人表现出更强烈的党派选举预期,这些预期被积极的民意调查和专家信息所抑制.
结论:
- 乐观主义塑造了一般的社会前景,而希望特别影响了党派选举信念.
- 选举期望中的党派偏见可能源于政治中的代理权感,而不是社会前景.
- 外部信息可以减轻希望对选举期望的影响.
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