连续谋杀罪犯和月球周期
Daniel Salafranca Barreda1, Jonatan A González2
1Crímina Center, University Miguel Hernández, Elche, Spain.
Chronobiology international
|February 16, 2026
概括
这项研究没有发现月球周期影响连环杀人罪犯的证据. 无论月球相,距离或照明,谋杀频率都保持一致,揭穿了常见的神话.
科学领域:
- 犯罪学 犯罪学
- 法医心理学 法医心理学
- 天体物理学 天体物理学
背景情况:
- 媒体对连环杀人罪犯 (SHO) 和月球周期的迷恋使神话延续.
- 之前的研究缺乏对月球周期对犯罪活动的影响的强有力的统计分析.
研究的目的:
- 为了统计确定月球周期是否与连环杀人罪犯的掠夺性激活相关.
- 调查月球相位,距离和照明对谋杀频率的影响.
主要方法:
- 使用准波桑日志线性回归模型.
- 分析了1960年1月1日至2016年11月30日期间记录的9976起杀人事件.
- 检查了月球相位,月球与地球的距离,季节变化和照明表面百分比.
主要成果:
- 月相对杀人事件频率没有统计学上显著的影响 (p = 0.997).
- 整个月球相的比率比率在1.00左右的狭窄分布.
- 月球的距离,季节变化和照亮的表面并不是重要的预测因素.
- 受害者的年龄 (15-64岁) 是一个重要的因素 (p < 2e-16).
结论:
- 没有统计证据支持月球周期和连环杀人罪犯活动之间的关系.
- 结果是基于一个大样本大小和延长56年的观察期.
- 揭穿了月球对连环谋杀案犯罪行为的影响的神话.
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