在21个欧洲国家,队列的预期工作寿命和失去了的工作年数
Jan Einhoff1,2
1Humboldt University of Berlin, Berlin, Germany.
Demography
|February 17, 2026
概括
工作寿命预期 (WLE) 在欧洲各地增加,特别是在中部,东部和西部地区. 然而,性别和国家差异仍然很大,剩余的工作年因退休和不活动而丧失,这给未来带来了挑战.
科学领域:
- 人口统计学 人口统计学
- 社会政策 社会政策 社会政策
- 老年学是一门学科.
背景情况:
- 30多年来,欧洲政策优先考虑延长工作寿命.
- 预期工作寿命 (WLE) 和失去了工作年 (WYL) 是这一目标的关键人口统计指标.
研究的目的:
- 对欧洲国家的现有WLE和WYL估计进行审查.
- 通过使用大型微层数据集,对21个欧洲国家的特定年龄组估计和预测WLE和WYL.
主要方法:
- 关于WLE和WYL估计的综合文献综述.
- 对可用最大的微层数据集进行分析,用于队列特定预测.
- 相关性分析以确定影响WLE收益的因素.
主要成果:
- 在整个欧洲,WLE总体上有所增加,在中欧,东欧和西欧有显著的加速.
- 北欧国家表现出最高的WLE水平.
- 在WLE中,国家和性别差异仍然很大,特别是在工作时间调整后.
结论:
- WLE的增加主要归因于连续的出生队伍晚些时候退休.
- 由于退休和不活动而丧失的剩余工作年,特别是对于女性来说,是延长欧洲工作寿命的主要障碍.
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