动物传染病负担的全球模式和预测因素基于2021年全球疾病负担的多指标分析
Haoning Wang1,2, Yuhan Wang2, Yufei Li2
1Heilongjiang Cold Region Wetland Ecology and Environment Research Key Laboratory, Harbin University, Harbin, China.
Vector borne and zoonotic diseases (Larchmont, N.Y.)
|February 17, 2026
概括
动物传播疾病不成比例地影响低收入地区的老年男性,突显了有针对性的公共卫生干预措施的需要. 全球疾病负担预计将下降,但区域差异仍然存在.
科学领域:
- 全球卫生健康 全球卫生健康
- 流行病学 流行病学
- 公共卫生政策 公共卫生政策
背景情况:
- 动物传染病构成了全球重大公共卫生威胁.
- 疾病负担在不同地理区域和人口群体之间有很大差异.
研究的目的:
- 调查动物传播疾病的全球分布和决定因素.
- 评估性别,年龄和社会人口统计指数 (SDI) 对动物传播疾病负担的影响.
- 预测动物传播疾病负担的未来趋势.
主要方法:
- 利用了2021年全球疾病负担研究和世卫组织全球健康观测中心的数据.
- 分析了201个国家的发病率,患病率,残疾调整后寿命年和死亡率数据.
- 雇员斯皮尔曼相关性,多变量回归和时间序列预测.
主要成果:
- 在非洲,南亚和东南亚观察到较高的动物性传染病负担,特别是在SDI较低的地区的老年男性中.
- 发现SDI和疾病负担之间存在强烈的反向关系;更好的健康覆盖和医生密度与较低的发病率和死亡率相关.
- 预计疾病负担的全球逐渐下降,随着地区的显著变化.
结论:
- 强调需要以公平为重点的干预措施来解决动物传播疾病负担的差异.
- 建议战略性资源配置,优先考虑低收入和中等收入地区的弱势群体.
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