缺血性心脏病的全球趋势和2022-2036年的预测
Xiaofei Zhang1,2, Kexin Zhang1,2, Jinyan Chen1,2
1Department of Endocrinology and Metabolism, Shandong Provincial Key Medical and Health Laboratory of Endocrinology and Metabolic Diseases.
Journal of cardiovascular medicine (Hagerstown, Md.)
|February 17, 2026
概括
从1990年到2021年,全球缺血性心脏病 (IHD) 的发病率翻了一番,女性的增加更高. 预测显示持续增长,需要针对性的预防和管理干预措施,特别是针对妇女和老年人.
科学领域:
- 心脏病学 心脏病学
- 流行病学 流行病学
- 全球健康 全球健康
背景情况:
- 缺血性心脏病 (IHD) 是全球主要的死亡和发病原因.
- 由于IHD的广泛影响,仍然存在重大健康挑战.
- 了解IHD趋势对于公共卫生战略至关重要.
研究的目的:
- 检查30年来缺血性心脏病 (IHD) 的全球影响.
- 分析IHD的区域和社会人口差异.
- 从2022年到2036年,预测IHD的未来趋势.
主要方法:
- 利用了2021年全球疾病负担研究 (GBD) 的数据.
- 分析了204个国家的371种疾病,根据社会人口统计指数 (SDI) 分类区域.
- 采用自回归集成移动平均 (ARIMA) 模型进行未来预测.
主要成果:
- 从1990年到2021年,全球IHD发病率翻了一番 (102%的增长),达到3187万例.
- 妇女的发病率增加 (106%) 比男性 (98%) 高;男性占病例的56.35%.
- 2021年IHD死亡人数达到899万,比1990年增加了68%,在50-69岁年龄组发生率最高.
结论:
- 缺血性心脏病 (IHD) 仍然是一个关键的全球健康问题,特别是在低收入和中等收入国家,心脏病的发病率正在上升.
- 存在显著的区域差异,中部SDI地区的负担增长最快.
- 预防,早期检测和管理的有针对性的干预措施是必不可少的,特别是对于妇女和老年人群来说.
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