边际多数效应:当社会影响产生锁定时
Alexandros Gelastopoulos1,2,3,4, Pantelis P Analytis2,5, Gaël Le Mens3,4,6
1Department of Social and Behavioral Sciences, Toulouse School of Economics, University of Toulouse Capitole, Toulouse 31080, France.
Science advances
|February 18, 2026
概括
社会影响可以导致劣质选择占主导地位,但新的"边际多数效应"解释了系统如何自我纠正. 这种效应描述了人气的变化如何取代质量,影响社会锁定动态.
科学领域:
- 社会和行为科学 社会和行为科学
- 决策方式 决策方式
- 集体行为 集体行为
背景情况:
- 社会影响往往导致最初受欢迎的选择占据主导地位,即使它们质量较差.
- 之前的实验已经产生了相互矛盾的结果,关于社会系统是否自我纠正或锁定在次优选择.
研究的目的:
- 识别一种行为现象,解释劣质选择如何实现主导地位.
- 调和社会锁定和自我纠正的相互矛盾的经验证据.
主要方法:
- 分析最近的实验数据,以确定和证明边际多数效应.
- 基于边际多数效应的强度和质量差异,建模社会锁定发生的条件.
主要成果:
- 确定了"边际多数效应",其特点是选择概率的不连续增加,当一个选项的受欢迎程度超过竞争对手时.
- 较低的锁定被发现取决于边际多数效应足够强大以超过质量差异.
- 通过证明当效应较弱时,锁定是罕见的,相互矛盾的经验发现被调和.
结论:
- 边际多数效应为社会系统中劣质锁定提供了一种机制.
- 这种行为现象的强度对于确定社会系统是否自我纠正或被锁定在次优选择中至关重要.
- 这项研究将行为科学发现与理解社会锁定动态联系在一起.
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