分析干旱发生与山林生产能力变化之间的关系:制定气候变化适应计划的先决条件
Seyedeh Samira Soleimanipour1, Kamran Adeli2, Davood Mafi-Gholami3
1Department of Forestry, Faculty of Agricultural and Natural Resources, Lorestan University, Khorramabad, Iran. soleymaniporsamira@yahoo.com.
Environmental monitoring and assessment
|February 19, 2026
概括
用地表生物质 (AGB) 衡量的山林生产能力在2007年之后随着降雨量增加而增加. 这项研究分析了35年的气候和卫星数据,发现生物质和降水趋势之间存在强烈的相关性.
科学领域:
- 森林生态 森林生态
- 气候变化科学 气候变化科学
- 遥感应用 遥感应用
背景情况:
- 山地森林面临降雨量减少和干旱增加.
- 在气候压力下评估森林生产能力至关重要.
研究的目的:
- 分析山林生产能力的变化.
- 研究干旱和降雨变化的对森林生物质的影响.
- 确定森林地表生物质 (AGB) 的长期趋势.
主要方法:
- 现场采样和测量方程用于计算2020年AGB.
- 回归分析将来自Landsat图像的比例植被指数 (RVI) 与AGB的回归分析.
- 对RVI (1986-2020) 的时间序列分析,以估计历史的AGB.
- 使用35年的降雨数据计算标准化降雨指数 (SPI).
主要成果:
- 确定了2007年作为降雨量的重大转变点.
- 2007年以后,降雨量呈现上升趋势.
- 在AGB和降雨量之间发现了强烈的相关性 (R2=0.64).
- 在35年期间,AGB和降雨均表现出类似的增长趋势.
结论:
- 山地生态系统中的森林地表生物量受到降雨量增加的积极影响.
- 气候变化,特别是降雨模式的变化,对森林生产力产生重大影响.
- 遥感和气候数据为长期生态变化提供了宝贵的见解.
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