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多范围碳流造成的不均过渡风险:韩国全国区域评估
No Ol Lim1, Hyojin Cho2, Song Taek Lim3
1Ojeong Resilience Institute, Korea University, Seoul, 02841, Republic of Korea. limnori96@gmail.com.
Scientific reports
|February 19, 2026
概括
韩国 韩国 韩国 韩国
科学领域:
- 环境经济学环境经济学
- 气候变化政策 气候变化政策
- 区域经济分析 区域经济分析
背景情况:
- 全球气候法规正在扩大碳问责制到供应链.
- 了解国家内部的区域过渡风险至关重要,但有限.
- 披露制度越来越多地影响直接排放之外的经济部门.
研究的目的:
- 评估韩国在多个范围 (范围1,2,3) 的区域碳流.
- 分析气候转型风险在韩国各省份的再分配情况.
- 制定区域碳排放和责任不匹配指标.
主要方法:
- 整合基于生产的 (范围 1),与能源相关的 (范围 2) 和供应链内嵌的 (范围 3) 排放.
- 应用区域扩展的输入-输出框架.
- 碳暴露和责任不匹配指标的发展.
- 集群分析以确定区域过渡风险的原型.
主要成果:
- 在碳排放和转型风险方面发现了重要的区域不对称性.
- 工业省份由于能源/材料密集型生产,暴露率很高.
- 大都会地区的直接排放量较低,但依赖范围3 (体现) 排放量很高.
- 根据供应链定位,确定了四种不同的区域过渡风险原型.
结论:
- 地区对气候政策的脆弱性是由供应链结构塑造的,而不仅仅是排放量.
- 扩大气候披露制度对具有高体内排放量的地区造成了独特的风险.
- 为了管理国家气候转型风险,一个多范围的,区域性明确的框架是必不可少的.
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