在输卵管外妊娠管理中的炎症指数,机器学习和人工智能
Uğurcan Zorlu1, Senem Arda Düz2, Gül Kurtaran3
1Ankara Bilkent City Hospital, Clinic of Perinatology, Ankara, Türkiye.
Turkish journal of obstetrics and gynecology
|February 20, 2026
概括
血液炎症指数如AISI,SIRI和FAR有效预测管外妊娠 (TEP) 中的甲状腺素治疗成功. 机器学习模型与这些生物标志物相结合,改善了个性化的TEP管理.
科学领域:
- 生殖内分泌学 生殖内分泌学
- 临床化学 临床化学
- 医疗信息学 医疗信息学
背景情况:
- 输卵管外妊娠 (TEP) 带来了重大风险,甲状腺素 (MTX) 是主要的医疗治疗方法.
- 预测MTX治疗结果对于有效的TEP管理和预防手术干预至关重要.
- 目前预测治疗成功的方法有局限性,需要新的预测标记.
研究的目的:
- 评估各种血液学和生化炎症指数在TEP中对MTX治疗结果的预测能力.
- 开发和评估机器学习 (ML) 模型,用于在接受MTX治疗的TEP患者中进行个性化风险分层.
主要方法:
- 一项对293名血液动力学稳定的TEP患者进行的回顾性队列研究,这些患者接受了单剂量MTX治疗.
- 计算和分析炎症指数:中性粒细胞与淋巴细胞的比率 (NLR),全身炎症反应指数 (SIRI),全身炎症总指数 (AISI) 和纤维素与白蛋白的比率 (FAR).
- 评估五个监督的ML算法,使用接收器操作特征分析来预测治疗成功,需要额外的MTX或手术.
主要成果:
- 单剂量MTX在65.5%的患者中成功;18.4%需要额外的MTX,16%需要手术.
- 在AISI,SIRI和FAR中,手术干预的预测准确度很高 (AUC分别为0.929,0.899,0.847).
- 纯粹的贝叶斯ML模型实现了卓越的外科预测 (准确率98.3%,AUC 0.998),而随机森林和梯度增强在预测额外的MTX需求方面表现出色.
结论:
- 系统性炎症综合指数 (AISI),系统性炎症反应指数 (SIRI) 和纤维素与白蛋白比率 (FAR) 是TEP中MTX失败和手术必要性的强有力的预测因素.
- 将这些炎症生物标志物与ML模型相结合,可显著提高预测性能,支持个性化的TEP管理策略.
- 建议在这些预测模型被广泛采用临床之前进行多中心前性验证.
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