巴西南部成年人中中风死亡率的趋势:时间序列研究 (2000-2021)
Orivaldo F de Souza1, Bárbara C de Santana Farias-Santos2, Beatriz S Silva3
1Postgraduate Program in Nutrition and Health, The Federal University of Espirito Santo and Center for Health and Sports Sciences, The Federal University of Acre, Rio Branco, Acre, Brazil.
International journal of preventive medicine
|February 23, 2026
概括
巴西成年人中中风死亡率和比例死亡率下降. 在COVID-19大流行期间,所有人口统计数据中,中风死亡比例显著下降.
科学领域:
- 公共卫生 公共卫生
- 流行病学 流行病学
- 心血管疾病研究研究
背景情况:
- 在COVID-19大流行期间更新的中风死亡率数据至关重要.
- 这项研究解决了对成人中风死亡率的时间趋势分析的需求.
研究的目的:
- 分析2000年至2021年巴西帕拉纳州成人中风死亡率和比例死亡率的时间趋势.
- 评估COVID-19大流行对中风死亡率趋势的影响.
主要方法:
- 一个时间序列研究,利用来自成年人群的二次数据.
- 结点回归分析用于计算死亡率和比例死亡率的平均年均百分比变化 (AAPC) 和年均百分比变化 (APC).
- 分析涵盖了2000年至2021年期间,包括COVID-19大流行时代.
主要成果:
- 在中风死亡率 (AAPC: -2.1%) 和比例死亡率 (AAPC: -4.0%) 均观察到显著下降趋势.
- 在COVID-19大流行期间,比例中风死亡率急剧下降 (APC: -16.1%),特别是在男性 (APC: -17.8%) 和40-49岁年龄组 (APC: -27.4%).
结论:
- 在成年人 (≥20岁) 中,中风死亡率和比例死亡率呈现下降.
- 在所有死因中,中风死亡的比例在COVID-19大流行期间显著下降.
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