纽约州森林扩张机会的综合估计
Andrea Armstrong1, Richard C Stedman2, David Richardson3
1The Nature Conservancy of New York, Keene Valley, NY, USA. andrea.armstrong@tnc.org.
Environmental management
|February 24, 2026
概括
森林扩张有助于减缓气候变化,但土地所有者的意愿限制了这种潜力. 在纽约,只有352,000英是合适的,远低于州的目标,强调了需要量身定制的保护计划.
科学领域:
- 环境科学 环境科学
- 气候变化缓解缓解 气候变化缓解
- 林业林业 林业 林业 林业
背景情况:
- 森林扩张是脱碳的关键气候减缓战略之一.
- 目前对土地潜力的估计往往忽视了关键的社会因素,如土地所有者的意愿.
- 以前的研究探讨了私人土地所有者愿意扩大森林覆盖面的意愿.
研究的目的:
- 将土地改造潜力与纽约私人土地所有者的社会偏好相结合.
- 评估森林扩张的现实潜力,考虑到社会层面.
- 评估纽约森林扩张气候目标的进展情况.
主要方法:
- 分析结合了对土地森林转换潜力的估计和纽约私人土地所有者的社会偏好.
- 从潜在估计中排除了积极用于农业的土地.
- 根据愿意和土地的可用性量化了最大合适的面积.
主要成果:
- 据估计,纽约约有352,000英适合森林扩张,考虑到土地所有者的意愿,不包括活跃农业.
- 这大约是纽约170万英森林扩张目标的五分之一.
- 社会因素显著限制了森林扩张可实现的土地.
结论:
- 通过森林扩张实现气候缓解目标需要解决土地所有者的社会偏好.
- 当考虑社会维度时,目前的潜力远低于国家目标.
- 扩大对保护从业者和土地所有者特定计划的支持是必不可少的.
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