评估加利福尼亚州萨克拉门托流域的气候变化和土地利用变化的长期水质变化
Naveen Joseph1, Nida Shareef2, Pooja Preetha3
1Department of Geospatial and Earth Sciences, Radford University, VA, 24142, USA.
The Science of the total environment
|February 24, 2026
概括
土地利用变化和极端气候显著影响萨克拉门托河的水质. 综合建模表明,土地使用比气候更为重要,需要适应性的流域管理策略.
科学领域:
- 环境科学 环境科学
- 水文学的水文学
- 水质管理水质管理
背景情况:
- 长期的水质受土地利用和气候之间的复杂相互作用的影响.
- 萨克拉门托河流域面临着不断变化的环境压力.
研究的目的:
- 评估土地利用转变和极端气候对水质趋势的综合和单独影响.
- 确定1985年至2023年萨克拉门托河流域水质变化的关键驱动因素.
主要方法:
- 综合卫星来源的土地使用数据,气候指数和水质记录 (硬度,pH,特定导电,TDS,TSS,度).
- 采用季节性趋势分析,光谱分析和随机森林模型,具有10倍的交叉验证.
- 仅对气候,仅对土地使用和气候+土地使用组合建模场景进行比较.
主要成果:
- 综合气候和土地利用的综合模型最好地解释了水质的变化.
- 土地使用预测因素比气候预测因素更强烈地推动了地点对地点的水质变化.
- 季节性分析显示了不同的影响:冬季风暴增加了沉积物/度,而夏季干旱增加了盐度/pH.
结论:
- 相互影响的土地利用和极端气候极端因素极大地影响了流域水质.
- 盐度持续升高需要长期管理;部分沉积物回收表明侵蚀控制的潜力.
- 这些发现为在不断变化的环境条件下适应性流域管理提供了可转移的框架.
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