再见 P<0.05.05 时间 P值只是衡量科学证据的许多项目中的一个
Karem Slim1, Chadli Dziri2, Bob Occean3
1Visceral Surgery, Pôle Santé République, Elsan Group, Clermont-Ferrand, France.
Journal of visceral surgery
|February 26, 2026
概括
一个世纪以来使用的0.05的P值值因滥用和误解而面临批评. 研究人员建议放弃这种任意值,而采用更具信息性的统计分析方法.
科学领域:
- 科学研究中的统计数据.
- 生物统计学和流行病学
背景情况:
- 一个世纪以来,P值,具有0.05的常规值,一直是测试假设的基石.
- 从业人员广泛采用它与统计学家最初对其局限性缺乏关注形成了鲜明对比.
研究的目的:
- 批判性地评估任意的0.05P值值的有效性.
- 讨论与P值二分解读相关的重大陷.
主要方法:
- 审查P值使用的历史背景和统计基础.
- 分析常见的误解和误用P值,特别是P<0.05值.
- 探索替代的统计方法和措施.
主要成果:
- 0.05的门导致二分化的判断,潜在的错误阳性,并且无法传达效果的大小或临床相关性.
- 过度依赖P值可能导致误解和脱离上下文的决策.
结论:
- 建议放弃0.05值和"统计学意义"一词.
- 建议转向贝叶斯分析,效果大小与置信区间以及实用试验等替代方法的范式转变.
- 这需要对科学数据的解释进行根本性的改变,远离百年历史的二分法分析.
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