基于Connectome的预测模型,对青少年同时使用和纵向使用物质的脆弱性进行预测
João F Guassi Moreira1, Nicholas Allgaier2, Micah E Johnson3
1Department of Psychology, University of Wisconsin, Madison, United States.
Developmental cognitive neuroscience
|February 28, 2026
概括
青少年物质使用预测随着时间的推移而改善,大脑连接映射在整个发育过程中发生了变化. 了解这些不同的方面和时间是有效的预防和治疗策略的关键.
科学领域:
- 神经科学是一个神经科学.
- 发展心理学 发展心理学
- 公共卫生 公共卫生
背景情况:
- 青少年吸毒是公众健康的一个主要问题.
- 了解它的神经基础对于预防和治疗至关重要.
- 现有的大脑网络特征很难捕捉物质使用的动态和多方面的方面.
研究的目的:
- 随着时间的推移,模拟青少年物质使用方面 (意图,获取,家庭病史).
- 调查传统和新兴的大脑连接指标的预测能力.
- 检查与物质使用风险相关的大脑行为关系的发育转变.
主要方法:
- 从ABCD竞标社区收集 (ABCC) 中使用的基线和两年后续数据.
- 操作化物质使用到意图,访问和家庭发展史.
- 采用传统和连接体嵌入指标来进行静止状态连接分析.
- 在多个时间点对每个物质使用方面进行训练的预测模型.
主要成果:
- 对物质使用方面的预测准确性从基线到随访显著增加.
- 使用意图在基线最可预测;访问和家族史在随访时改善了预测.
- 传统和新兴的连接指标都显示了类似的预测性能.
结论:
- 青少年物质使用的神经生物学相关性是动态的,在整个发育过程中发生变化.
- 独特的物质使用方面和发展时间对于理解风险至关重要.
- 大脑连接的早期个体差异预测了以后的物质使用脆弱性.
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