北半球近地表地下冰地图 北半球近地表地下冰地图
Bingquan Wang1, Youhua Ran2, Xin Li3
1School of Environmental Studies, China University of Geosciences, Wuhan 430074, China.
Science bulletin
|February 28, 2026
概括
这项研究介绍了第一个1公里分辨率的北半球地面冰地图,这对于理解永久土动态至关重要. 该地图显示了大约54,600立方公里的近地冰,是之前估计的两倍,有助于气候和基础设施影响评估.
科学领域:
- 地球科学 地球科学 地球科学
- 冰层科学 冰层科学 冰层科学 冰层科学
- 地质物理学 地质物理学
背景情况:
- 永久土的功能和脆弱性在很大程度上取决于近地表面的地面冰含量.
- 北半球的高质量,基于网格的地面冰地图目前无法获得.
- 准确地绘制地图对于评估气候变化对永久土地区的影响至关重要.
研究的目的:
- 为北半球创建第一个1公里分辨率的基于网格的地面冰地图.
- 为了量化近地表面地下冰含量在永久土表以下5米以内.
- 为追踪永久土变化和评估相关影响提供一个基准.
主要方法:
- 集成1178个钻孔用于体积冰含量 (VIC) 测量.
- 利用多来源的地理空间数据,包括古气候,遥感和表面地质.
- 在机器学习和集体模拟中应用Copula-Embedded贝叶斯模型平均值 (COP-BMA).
主要成果:
- 为北半球生成了一个新的1公里分辨率的地面冰地图.
- 据估计,近地表面永久土冰的总储量约为54,600公里3.
- 高冰含量集中在平原和湿地,而山区的冰含量较低.
结论:
- 新的地图为地面冰分布提供了前所未有的细节和准确性.
- 估计的冰量明显高于之前的评估.
- 这种高分辨率的地图对于永久土研究和对气候,水文,生态系统和基础设施的影响评估至关重要.
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