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谁谈到了洪水风险和气候变化适应? 三个国家的社会互动分析
Thorid Wagenblast1, Amineh Ghorbani1, Martijn Warnier1
1Department of Multi-Actor Systems, Faculty of Technology, Policy and Management, Delft University of Technology, Delft, the Netherlands.
概括
关于气候适应的社会互动是有限的,不频繁的,并不是主要与邻居进行的. 然而,那些有危险经验或更高风险感知的人更有可能参与,这表明社会放大效应.
科学领域:
- 环境社会科学 环境社会科学
- 气候变化适应研究 气候变化适应研究
- 风险感知研究 风险感知研究
背景情况:
- 社会影响和规范对于气候变化适应至关重要,但机制尚不清楚.
- 了解社会互动如何塑造风险感知和适应行为对于有效的政策至关重要.
- 关于有关气候风险的社会参与模式和驱动因素的研究有限.
研究的目的:
- 调查与洪水风险和适应相关的社会互动模式.
- 分析这些社会互动如何影响个人风险感知和适应行为.
- 确定社会参与气候适应讨论的决定因素.
主要方法:
- 对来自荷兰,英国和美国沿海地区的跨国调查数据 (N=1612) 的分析.
- 关于洪水风险和适应的社会互动模式的统计检查.
- 探讨社会参与,危险经验,风险感知和同性恋之间的关系.
主要成果:
- 很大一部分 (50%) 的受访者报告说,没有社会参与气候风险和适应.
- 关于这些话题的社交互动很少发生 (每年不到五次),很少涉及邻居.
- 具有先前危险经验和更高感知风险的个人更有可能参与社会讨论,这表明潜在的社会放大.
结论:
- 关于气候适应的社会参与是有限的,挑战了关于广泛的同行影响的假设.
- 研究结果表明,社会放大机制可能在发挥作用,由个人经验和高度风险感知驱动.
- 洞察力可以改进气候变化适应中的社会影响模型,并为政策支持的沟通策略提供信息.
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