情境变量对2022年FIFA世界杯进球进攻序列的影响
Carlos Humberto Almeida1,2, Paulo Paixão1,3,4, António Jorge1
1Research Group in Soccer and Futsal (GIFut), Department of Psychology and Physical Education, Manuel Teixeira Gomes Higher Education Institute (ISMAT), Portimão, Portugal.
Journal of human kinetics
|March 2, 2026
概括
精英足球队根据比赛背景调整了他们从防守到进攻的过渡,球队质量是关键绩效指标. 适应情境变量的能力显著影响足球的成功.
科学领域:
- 运动科学 运动科学 运动科学
- 足球分析 足球分析
- 绩效分析 绩效分析
背景情况:
- 足球比赛表现分析已经取得了进展,但考虑到多种情境变量的技术战术指标的研究有限.
- 了解情境因素如何影响进球顺序中的关键绩效指标 (KPI) 对精英足球至关重要.
研究的目的:
- 调查四个情境变量 (比赛阶段,比赛期间,比赛状态,球队质量) 在进球序列中的KPI的影响.
- 确定这些变量如何影响进攻过渡和精英足球的整体表现.
主要方法:
- 分析了2022年FIFA世界杯的168个进球序列,使用了进攻序列表征系统.
- 统计分析包括曼-惠特尼U,克鲁斯卡尔-瓦利斯,奇方位和多项物流回归,以评估情境变量对KPI和分类变量的影响.
主要成果:
- 比赛阶段,比赛期间和比赛状态显著影响了防守到进攻的过渡,特别是在比赛中期和球队输球时,导致更高的球回收和积极的战术.
- 球队质量是最有影响力的因素,排名更高的球队表现出更有结构的进攻和更快的球干预.
- 情境变量没有显著影响积累和进展的关键关键指标.
结论:
- 精英足球的成功取决于球队的质量和适应动态比赛条件的能力.
- 将情境因素分析纳入训练和准备可以提高球队在竞争足球中的适应能力和表现.
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