在中国的气候变化下,作物分配与环境资源之间的不协调越来越大
Zheng'e Su1,2,3, Zhentao Zhang1, Jin Zhao1
1College of Resources and Environmental Sciences, China Agricultural University, Beijing, China.
Advanced science (Weinheim, Baden-Wurttemberg, Germany)
|March 2, 2026
概括
气候变化影响农作物生产. 玉米和小麦的收获越来越多地与水的供应不匹配,威胁到粮食安全,并突出了对资源信息化的农业战略和水资源管理的需要.
科学领域:
- 农业科学 农业科学
- 环境科学 环境科学
- 气候科学 气候科学
背景情况:
- 可持续的作物生产对于粮食安全至关重要,特别是在气候变化下.
- 了解当地环境资源是缓解资源压力的关键.
- 农作物生产必须适应不断变化的气候条件和资源可用性.
研究的目的:
- 量化玉米和小麦的综合环境资源供给.
- 分析过去20年作物收获区与环境资源之间的对齐情况.
- 为了确定作物种植和水资源的空间不匹配.
主要方法:
- 利用多个来源的数据和作物模型进行分析.
- 量化气候条件,蓝水的可用性和土壤特性.
- 评估收获地区与环境资源供给的协调性.
主要成果:
- 玉米种植向北转移,而小麦的高产区向西转移,收获区向东转移.
- 农作物种植面积和水资源之间存在显著的空间错位.
- 大约84%的玉米和90%的小麦面积面临水资源短缺,需要补充水.
结论:
- 越来越多的不匹配需要更智能,资源明智的作物放置和水资源管理.
- 将作物与当地环境能力相协调,可以减轻资源压力,加强粮食安全.
- 可持续的农业实践对于长期的经济和生态健康至关重要.
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