有才华的网球运动员在青春期的发展性表现轨迹:一个潜在的纵向方法
K T H Rikken1, B C H Huijgen1, A E Hoekstra2
1Developmental Psychology, Talent Development & Creativity, Heymans Institute for Psychology, University of Groningen, Groningen, The Netherlands.
Journal of sports sciences
|March 3, 2026
概括
这项纵向研究追踪了有才华的年轻网球运动员,揭示了男性和女性不同的人才发展路径. 由于可预测的表现轨迹,对女性球员来说,早期的人才识别可能更可行.
科学领域:
- 运动科学 运动科学 运动科学
- 人才发展 人才发展.
- 青少年田径运动
背景情况:
- 对年轻人体育天赋发展的纵向研究很少.
- 了解不同的人才轨迹对于有效的运动员支持至关重要.
研究的目的:
- 为了前性地研究荷兰青年网球运动员 (11.5-16岁) 的天赋发展.
- 根据先前的数据,评估16岁儿童表现的可预测性.
- 在人才发展途径中识别潜在的基于性别的差异.
主要方法:
- 预期纵向研究设计.
- 适用于绩效评级数据的增长混合模型.
- 对1010名全国排名的荷兰青年网球运动员 (645名男性,365名女性) 的分析.
主要成果:
- 确定了四种不同的男性人才发展轨迹;五种是女性的.
- 最佳男性轨迹显示非线性发展,增长加速13.5年后.
- 最佳女性轨迹显示了持续的线性改善.
- 预测16岁早期表现的预测力随着年龄的增长而增加,女性的预测力更高.
结论:
- 在青少年网球人才发展轨迹中存在显著的性别差异.
- 女球员在青春期表现出更可预测的表现发展.
- 对女性网球运动员来说,早期的才华识别可能更可靠.
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