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从农村空洞化到智能收缩:考虑空间非静止效应的区域治理
Chi Chen1,2, Chengxiang Wang3,4, Lei Cao1
1Institute of Land and Urban-Rural Planning, Huaiyin Normal University, Huai'an, 223300, China.
Scientific reports
|March 3, 2026
概括
农村空洞化是可持续发展的一个关键挑战,通过智能收缩来分析. 这项研究揭示了空间模式和影响因素,并提出了针对农村振兴的定制战略.
科学领域:
- 农村发展 农村发展
- 空间分析 空间分析
- 智能收缩机 智能收缩机
背景情况:
- 农村人口减少对可持续农村发展构成重大挑战.
- 现有的研究往往忽视了村庄的环境视角和农村空洞化中的空间非静止性.
- 智能收缩为评估这些复杂的农村动态提供了一个框架.
研究的目的:
- 从一个村庄的环境角度研究农村空洞的形成,考虑到空间非静止性.
- 构建和应用基于住宅领域和电力理论的理论模型.
- 根据经验发现,为农村振兴制定定制的管理策略.
主要方法:
- 对农村家庭进行了全样本调查.
- 创新地应用了地理加权XGBoost (GWXGBoost) 模型.
- 用SHAP方法与GWXGBoost一起进行深入分析.
主要成果:
- 与传统方法相比,GWXGBoost表现出优越的回归性能.
- 农村空洞呈现出明显的环状图案,其中45%的村庄中度空洞,43%的村庄严重空洞.
- 生活和位置领域被确定为空洞化的重要驱动因素,非静止性也显示了环状差异化.
结论:
- 该研究通过空间分析和先进建模,为了解农村空洞化提供了一种新的方法.
- 针对不同区域提出了量身定制的管理策略,以应对特定的挑战并利用当地潜力.
- 研究结果支持实施智能收缩原则,以实现有效的农村发展和振兴.
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