相关实验视频
Updated: Jun 23, 2026

12:59
Barnes Maze Testing Strategies with Small and Large Rodent Models
Published on: February 27, 2014
贝叶斯设计和分析使用保证的双臂集群随机试验:扩展到二进制结果,并比较马尔科夫链蒙特卡洛和集成嵌套拉普拉斯近似
Abdullah Aloufi1,2, Kevin J Wilson1, Nina Wilson3
1School of Mathematics, Statistics & Physics, Newcastle University, Newcastle upon Tyne, UK.
Clinical trials (London, England)
|March 3, 2026
概括
使用对样本大小选择保证的完全贝叶斯设计对于具有连续和二进制结果的集群随机试验是有效的. 集成嵌套拉普拉斯近似为这些试验设计提供了马尔科夫链蒙特卡洛的计算效率高的替代方案.
科学领域:
- 临床试验设计 临床试验设计
- 贝叶斯统计学贝叶斯统计学
- 生物统计学 生物统计学
背景情况:
- 贝叶斯设计包含样本大小计算的保证,用于临床试验.
- 之前的工作重点是使用频率主义 (混合) 或贝叶斯式 (完全贝叶斯式) 分析进行连续结果的双臂集群随机试验.
- 完全贝叶斯式设计通常依赖马尔科夫链蒙特卡洛 (MCMC),这可能是计算密集的.
研究的目的:
- 开发和评估两个臂集群随机试验的完全贝叶斯设计,具有连续和二进制结果.
- 与MCMC相比,研究使用集成嵌套拉普拉斯近似 (INLA) 进行更快的保证计算.
- 应用这些方法来确定SPEEDY集群随机试验的样本大小.
主要方法:
- 充分利用贝叶斯设计,确保在双臂集群随机试验中对样本大小进行选择.
- 在试验数据分析中采用了通用线性混合效应模型.
- 在连续和二进制结果中,将INLA与MCMC的计算速度和准确性进行比较.
主要成果:
- INLA为集群试验中的保证计算提供了一个计算效率高的MCMC替代方案,特别是在二进制结果和大型连续结果试验 (n > 500) 中.
- MCMC仍然适合较小的连续结果试验 (n ≤ 500),需要高精度.
- 该案例研究表明,成功地将专家不确定性纳入样本大小计算,评估试验成功概率.
结论:
- 对于具有连续和二进制结果的双臂集群随机试验,完全贝叶斯设计是可行的和连贯的.
- INLA通过保证计算提高了样本大小确定效率,而不会影响推断准确度.
- 这种方法为设计集群试验提供了一个强大的框架,有效地将参数不确定性纳入样本大小决策中.
相关概念视频
Multiple Comparison Tests
Multiple comparison test, abbreviated as MCT, is a post hoc analysis generally performed after comparing multiple samples with one or more tests. An MCT will help identify a significantly different sample among multiple samples or a factor among multiple factors.
It would be easy to compare two samples using a significance alpha level of 0.05. In other words, there is only one sample pair to be compared. However, it would be difficult to identify a significantly different sample if the number...
It would be easy to compare two samples using a significance alpha level of 0.05. In other words, there is only one sample pair to be compared. However, it would be difficult to identify a significantly different sample if the number...
Randomized Experiments
The randomization process involves assigning study participants randomly to experimental or control groups based on their probability of being equally assigned. Randomization is meant to eliminate selection bias and balance known and unknown confounding factors so that the control group is similar to the treatment group as much as possible. A computer program and a random number generator can be used to assign participants to groups in a way that minimizes bias.
Simple randomization
Simple...
Simple randomization
Simple...
Wald-Wolfowitz Runs Test I
The Wald-Wolfowitz test, also known as the runs test, is a nonparametric statistical test used to assess the randomness of a sequence of two different types of elements (e.g., positive/negative values, successes/failures). It examines whether the order of the elements in a sequence is random or if there is a pattern or trend present. This nonparametric test applies to any ordered data despite the population and sample data distribution, even if a higher sample size is available.
The test works...
The test works...
Wald-Wolfowitz Runs Test II
The Wald-Wolfowitz runs test, commonly referred to as the runs test, is a nonparametric test used to assess the randomness of ordered data. The test evaluates the number of runs, which are consecutive sequences of similar elements within the data. If the number of runs is significantly higher or lower than expected, the data is considered non-random, indicating a detectable pattern or structure.
For binary data, runs are identified using symbols such as + and −, or equivalently, 1s and 0s. In...
For binary data, runs are identified using symbols such as + and −, or equivalently, 1s and 0s. In...
Bioequivalence Experimental Study Designs: Completely Randomized and Randomized Block Designs
Bioequivalence experimental study designs are crucial methodologies used in evaluating and comparing the bioavailability of different drug products. These designs are categorized into various types: completely randomized, randomized block, repeated measures, cross and carry-over, and Latin square designs.Completely randomized designs involve randomly allocating treatments to all subjects participating in the experiment. This allocation is achieved by assigning unique random numbers to subjects...
McNemar's Test
McNemar's Test is a nonparametric statistical test used to determine if there is a significant difference in proportions between two related groups when the outcome is binary (e.g., yes/no, success/failure). It is beneficial when we have paired data, such as pre-test/post-test designs, where the same subjects are measured under two different conditions. The test is named after the statistician Quinn McNemar, who introduced it in 1947. It is commonly used in situations where subjects are...

