快递:初次经验对风险选择的影响
Elliot A Ludvig1, Neil McMillan2,3, Jeffrey Matthew Pisklak2
1Department of Psychology, University of Warwick.
概括
风险偏好受到早期经验的影响. 虽然学习结果概率不断更新,但选择的相对值显示出持久的优先效应,影响决策.
科学领域:
- 认知心理学 认知心理学
- 决策科学科学 决策科学
- 神经经济学 神经经济学
背景情况:
- 学习和记忆中的偏差,例如优先效应,会影响危险的决策.
- 优先效应描述了初始体验如何不成比例地影响后来的记忆和选择.
研究的目的:
- 调查与结果概率和相对值相关的决策中的潜在优先效应.
- 区分早期与后期经验对学习风险选择的影响.
主要方法:
- 进行了三项实验 (N=772),操纵了经历不同结果概率和相对值的顺序.
- 前两个实验在结果概率的顺序上有所变化 (N=382).
- 第三个实验操纵了引入一个 joker 选项,结果极端度不同 (N=390).
主要成果:
- 在前两个实验中,没有观察到学习结果概率的优先效应.
- 在第三次实验中,早期引入一个更极端的野生卡选项影响了选择.
- 在会话的晚些时候引入相同的极端野生卡并没有影响选择,这表明相对价值的持久优势效应.
结论:
- 在风险选择中学习结果概率是不断更新的.
- 受期权相对价值影响的风险偏好表现出持久的优先效应,早期经验产生了不成比例的影响.
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