通过网络重新布线,减轻供应链中的系统性风险
Giacomo Zelbi1, Leonardo Niccolò Ialongo1,2, Stefan Thurner3,4,5,6
1Complexity Science Hub Vienna, 1030, Vienna, Austria.
Scientific reports
|March 5, 2026
概括
供应链中断源于网络结构. 重新连接供应商链接可以在不影响生产的情况下减少16-50%的系统风险,提高整体供应链的弹性.
科学领域:
- 网络科学 网络科学
- 供应链管理 供应链管理
- 统计物理学的统计物理.
背景情况:
- 由于相互依赖,供应链容易受到系统性风险的影响,导致级联中断.
- 供应链网络 (SCN) 中的系统风险是可量化的,与网络拓和动态相关,但拓的具体贡献尚不清楚.
研究的目的:
- 调查是否重新连接供应商-客户对可以显著减少供应链中的系统风险.
- 量化网络拓对系统风险的影响,并评估有针对性的网络修改的有效性.
主要方法:
- 供应链网络 (SCN) 的量化系统性风险.
- 采用统计物理方法来最大限度地降低系统风险,同时尊重固定的生产约束.
- 分析了厄瓜多尔和匈牙利国家SCN的子网络.
主要成果:
- 通过重新连接供应商-客户对,系统风险降低了16-50%,而不会影响公司的生产产出.
- 通过显著地改变网络连接来实现风险降低.
- 该研究发现,目前的SCN拓具有不必要的高水平的系统风险.
结论:
- 对供应商关系的有针对性的重新布线可以大大提高供应链的弹性.
- 网络拓在确定系统风险水平方面发挥着关键作用.
- 通过战略性供应商修改,可以实现与自然网络演变相匹配的弹性改进.
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