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基于生态系统服务流的水相关生态安全模式的定量评估:中国吉林省的案例研究
Qing Ru1,2, Xiao Yang1,2, Yang Liu1,2
1School of Hydraulic and Electric Power, Heilongjiang University, Harbin 150080, China.
iScience
|March 9, 2026
概括
这项研究量化了吉林省的水生态系统服务,揭示了西北地区的持续赤字和东南地区的余. 结果指导可持续的水资源管理和生态安全模式的优化.
科学领域:
- 环境科学 环境科学
- 生态生态学 生态生态学
- 水文学的水文学
背景情况:
- 与水有关的生态安全模式对于区域水资源管理至关重要.
- 目前的评估缺乏动态建模,简化河流网络和考虑耕地变化.
研究的目的:
- 从2000年到2032年,对吉林省的水生态系统服务供需模式进行定量分析.
- 在不同的土地使用场景下确定生态走廊和脆弱节点.
- 解决当前与水有关的生态安全评估的局限性.
主要方法:
- 综合PLUS多场景土地利用模拟,InVEST生态系统服务流评估和MCR模型.
- 对水生态系统服务供需模式的定量分析.
- 确定生态走廊和脆弱节点.
主要成果:
- 吉林西北地区 (白城,元) 持续存在水务缺口,东南地区 (东华,白山,元) 存在水务过剩.
- 确定了71个生态走廊和58个脆弱节点,包括18个重要走廊和9个预警节点.
- 到2032年,所有场景都保持了"东南余-西北赤字"模式,在不同的土地使用场景下,早期预警节点的分布不同.
结论:
- 该研究提供了与水有关的生态安全模式的强有力的定量评估.
- 这些发现对于优化水生生态系统空间配置和确保水安全至关重要.
- 这项研究对多层次的水安全保证和可持续的水资源管理具有重大影响.
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