在美国,对堕胎合法权的支持是否在不同世代之间存在差异?
Carlisle Rainey1, Robert A Jackson1
1Department of Political Science, Florida State University, Tallahassee, Florida, United States of America.
PloS one
|March 9, 2026
概括
关于堕胎权利的公众意见显示,随着时间的推移,有显著的变化,而不仅仅是世代的分歧. 随着年龄的增长,人们的态度会发生变化,40岁以后变得更加保守,公众论是可塑的.
科学领域:
- 社会科学 社会科学 社会科学
- 公众论研究 公众论研究
- 人口统计学 人口统计学
背景情况:
- 多布斯诉杰克逊妇女健康组织的裁决加剧了对堕胎权利的兴趣.
- 年轻的成年人通常被认为比老年人更支持选择,这表明了代际差异.
- 以前对单个横截面的分析可能会将年龄影响与代际影响混为一谈.
研究的目的:
- 调查关于堕胎态度的世代差异假设.
- 分析美国关于堕胎权利的论的长期趋势.
- 为了确定堕胎的态度是否在不同一代人之间有显著差异.
主要方法:
- 分析了五十年的一般社会调查 (GSS) 数据.
- 利用贝叶斯的层次模型来估计态度差异.
- 检查了跨年龄,调查年份和特定世代的变化 (沉默者,婴儿潮一代,X,千一代,Z).
主要成果:
- 在不同年龄组和调查年份的堕胎态度中发现了显著的差异.
- 在分析后代的态度中只观察到很小的差异.
- 确定了从40岁左右开始越来越保守的堕胎态度的持续趋势.
- 证明了公众对堕胎的看法随着时间的推移是高度可塑的.
结论:
- 堕胎态度的代际差异不如人们普遍认为的那么明显.
- 年龄是一个重要因素,40岁以后的态度变得更加保守.
- 公众对堕胎权利的看法是动态的,随着时间的推移,社会也会发生变化.
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