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社会生态系统的变革能力
Theo K Michaels1,2,3, Ahjond Garmestani4,5, Lance Gunderson6
1University of Nebraska-Lincoln, School of Natural Resources.
概括
人类世需要社会生态系统 (SESs) 的故意转型. 定义具有记忆,多样性和新性等属性的变革能力是导航不可预测变化的关键,并指导SES朝着理想的未来.
科学领域:
- 社会生态系统分析系统分析
- 可持续性科学是一种科学.
- 环境治理环境治理
背景情况:
- 人类世呈现出复杂的,非线性全球变化.
- 目前人类的反应集中在缓解和适应上,但转型有时是必要的.
- 改变社会生态系统 (SESs) 本质上是有风险和不可预测的.
研究的目的:
- 在SESs的背景下定义变革能力.
- 确定和详细阐述转型能力的核心属性.
- 为实现面向未来的管理提供一个基础,使变革能力的运作成为可行的基础.
主要方法:
- 变革能力的概念定义和阐述.
- 确定三个核心属性:记忆,多样性和新性.
- 讨论属性动态,跨度相互作用,风险和权力.
主要成果:
- 变革能力被定义为有意向系统转移到可取的新状态的潜力.
- 记忆,多样性和新性被确定为影响变革能力的核心属性.
- 研究了这些属性的相互作用,包括它们与风险和权力的关系.
结论:
- 定义变革能力对于想象和实现必要的系统变化至关重要.
- 了解它的属性有助于应对不确定性,减少负面惊喜.
- 实现变革能力的运行支持SES的管理,以实现更理想的未来.
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