进化适应全球变化减少了可持续渔业的产量
Jan Kozłowski1, Dustin J Marshall2, Craig R White2
1Institute of Environmental Sciences, Faculty of Biology, Jagiellonian University, Kraków, Poland.
概括
全球变暖对渔业产生影响,但进化使得渔业产量损失增加了50%. 忽视鱼类进化是高估了气候变化下的未来渔业生产率.
科学领域:
- 生态生态学 生态生态学
- 进化生物学 进化生物学
- 气候变化科学 气候变化科学
背景情况:
- 全球变暖正在显著改变海洋生态系统和渔业.
- 当前对气候变化对渔业影响的预测往往忽视了进化适应.
- 渔业对全球粮食安全至关重要,使得渔业的弹性成为一个关键问题.
研究的目的:
- 开发一个预测鱼类适应气候变化的模型.
- 评估进化过程对渔业产量的影响.
- 量化从气候变化预测中排除演变对渔业的影响.
主要方法:
- 开发了一个预测模型,将气候变化场景与进化动态相结合.
- 模拟鱼类生命史进化,以应对预计的变暖.
- 量化了预测演变对个体鱼类特征和总体渔业产量的影响.
主要成果:
- 预计温暖水域的鱼类生长速度更快,但成熟时间更早,导致最大尺寸减少.
- 进化适应减轻了对鱼类健康的负面影响,但使渔业产量的损失增加了约50%.
- 排除进化过程会导致所有排放情景中对未来渔业产量的高估.
结论:
- 鱼类的进化适应在气候变化下显著改变预计的渔业产量.
- 进化对渔业的影响在高排放场景下最为明显.
- 包括渔业在内的生态系统服务的未来预测必须纳入进化动态,以便进行准确的评估.
相关概念视频
Population Growth
29.4K
Population size is dynamic, increasing with birth rates and immigration, and decreasing with death rates and emigration. In ideal conditions with unlimited resources, populations can increase exponentially, which plots as a J-shaped growth rate curve of population size against time. This type of curve is characteristic of newly-introduced invasive species, or populations that have suffered catastrophic declines and are rebounding.
29.4K
Sustainable Development
15.4K
As the human population continues to grow and use resources, we must be mindful of our planet’s natural limits. Sustainable development provides a pathway to maintain and improve human life now while also ensuring that future generations will have the resources that they need. The long-term success of sustainability efforts rests on understanding the interplay between human actions and ecological systems.
15.4K
Limits to Natural Selection
35.7K
Organisms that are well-adapted to their environment are more likely to survive and reproduce. However, natural selection does not lead to perfectly adapted organisms. Several factors constrain natural selection.
35.7K
Natural Selection and Adaptation
1.6K
Natural selection, a fundamental concept in evolutionary biology, is the mechanism by which evolution is driven, favoring organisms that are best adapted to their environments. This process enhances their chances of survival and reproduction. Adaptation, a key outcome of this process, involves genetic modifications that optimize an organism's functionality under specific environmental challenges, such as extreme cold or thinner air at high altitudes.
Beyond physical adaptations,...
Beyond physical adaptations,...
1.6K
Adaptations that Reduce Water Loss
28.5K
Though evaporation from plant leaves drives transpiration, it also results in loss of water. Because water is critical for photosynthetic reactions and other cellular processes, evolutionary pressures on plants in different environments have driven the acquisition of adaptations that reduce water loss.
28.5K
What is Natural Selection?
131.7K
Natural selection is an evolutionary process in which individuals with survival-promoting traits reproduce at higher rates. These favorable traits become more common within a population or species. Naturally selected traits initially arise via random genetic mutations. In order for selection to occur, there must be variation within a population, the trait controlling the variation must be heritable, and there must be an evolutionary advantage for variation in the trait.
131.7K


