农业随着年龄的增长变得更加不稳定:缅因州农业社区的伤害,2008-2022年,通过时间序列分析
Laura E Jones1, Erika Scott2, Nicole Krupa1
1Center for Biostatistics, Bassett Research Institute, Bassett Medical Center, Cooperstown, New York, USA.
American journal of industrial medicine
|March 12, 2026
概括
缅因州农业工人受伤率呈现显著上升趋势,特别是40-81岁的农业工人受伤率在2019-2022年期间几乎翻了一番. 这项研究强调了针对老年农场工人的有针对性的安全干预措施的必要性.
科学领域:
- 职业健康和安全 职业健康和安全
- 农业医学 农业医学
- 公共卫生监督是对公共卫生的监督.
背景情况:
- 农业工作是最危险的民用职业之一,在追踪非致命伤害方面存在重大挑战.
- 机器学习被用来从缅因州的医院前护理记录 (PCR) 中提取伤害数据.
- 本研究利用从PCR中获得的新型时间序列数据进行农业损害分析.
研究的目的:
- 探索和总结缅因州农业伤害的新型时间序列记录.
- 为了确定农业伤害的趋势,季节性和与年龄和温度的关联.
- 分析不同时期伤害率的变化.
主要方法:
- 分析了来自缅因州PCR的1604起农业伤害 (2008-2022年).
- 使用添加模型将时间序列分解为季节性,趋势和随机组件.
- 混合效应回归和时间序列回归来评估年龄和温度的关联.
主要成果:
- 农业伤害率表现出强烈的季节性,在7月至8月达到顶峰,并在1月至2月达到低谷.
- 年龄类别和受伤率之间存在显著的积极关联,除了最年长的工人.
- 在2016年至2019-2022年期间,受伤率及其变异性显著增加,特别是在40-81岁的人群中.
结论:
- 年龄的增加与更高的农业损害率有显著的关联.
- 尽管季节性很强,但月度极端温度和受伤率之间没有发现显著的联系.
- 农业损害率趋势在2019-2022年间出现了显著的上升转变,几乎使其平均值翻了一番.
关键词:
缅因州 缅因州 缅因州 缅因州农业 农业 农业 农业职业伤害 职业伤害 职业伤害医院前护理记录 (PCR)监控监督监督监督监督监督监督监督监督监督监督监督监督监督监督监督监督监督时间序列分析分析时间序列分析更多相关视频
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