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通过北美和东亚的细胞合并机制,城市的冰暴增加
Ang Zhou1,2,3,4, Kun Zhao5,6,7,8, Johnny C L Chan9
1State Key Laboratory of Severe Weather Meteorological Science and Technology, Nanjing University, Nanjing, China.
Nature communications
|March 14, 2026
概括
合并风 (MHs) 发生的频率是正常风 (NHs) 的两倍,并且比正常风更强烈. 城市热量可能会增加MHs,气候变化可能会增加它们的频率.
科学领域:
- 大气科学 大气科学
- 气象学 天气学
- 气候科学 气候科学
背景情况:
- 冰是破坏性的极端天气事件,在全球造成重大财产损失.
- 城市环境在加剧冰暴中的作用已被建议,但由于复杂的大气过程,尚未完全理解.
研究的目的:
- 为了研究与对流融合相关的冰风暴形成路径.
- 为了确定这种路径是否解释了北美和东亚冰风频率的上升.
- 评估城市环境和气候变化对冰风特征的影响.
主要方法:
- 对长期观测数据的分析.
- 高分辨率的数字模拟冰暴的形成.
- 机器学习模型对未来冰风频率的预测.
主要成果:
- 合并的冰风 (MHs) 发生的频率大约是合并的两倍,并且比非合并的正常冰风 (NHs) 更强烈.
- 有利的环境条件,可能被城市人为热量放大,促进对流细胞的融合.
- 机器学习模型预测北美MH频率会增加,NH频率会下降.
结论:
- 通过对流融合确定了一条重要的,以前未被探索的风形成途径.
- 气候变化和人为因素,如城市热量,可能会显著影响未来的冰活动和相关风险.
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