北极动物的种群振荡:类掠食者的调节导致混乱
I Hanski1, P Turchin, E Korpimäki
1Department of Zoology, University of Helsinki, Finland.
Nature
|July 15, 1993
概括
北动物种群周期是由捕食者-猎物动态解释的. 类捕食者创造了延迟密度依赖,导致混乱的动物群体振荡,具有周期性成分.
科学领域:
- 生态生态学 生态生态学
- 人口动态 人口动态
- 数学生物学 数学生物学
背景情况:
- 自1924年以来,在北极和北极地区观察到的微丁动物的周期性波动,尽管进行了广泛的研究,但仍然无法从机制上解释.
- 之前关于这些小哺乳动物周期的驱动因素的假设不足以解释持续的振荡.
研究的目的:
- 调查驱动北极动物种群多年振荡的潜在机制.
- 为了测试捕食者与猎物的相互作用对这些种群动态负责的假设.
主要方法:
- 开发一个季节性捕食者-猎物模型,包括动物和类捕食者之间的相互作用.
- 对实证动物种群数据应用非线性时间序列分析.
- 模型预测与观察到的人口动态的比较.
主要成果:
- 捕食者-猎物模型与现场数据进行参数化,准确预测了北极动物种群的动态.
- 模型生成和实证数据都表现出混乱的动态,具有统计学上显著的周期性组成部分.
- 由类掠食者施加的延迟密度依赖被确定为动物种群周期的主要驱动因素.
结论:
- 费诺斯坎迪亚的动物种群的多年振荡主要是由类掠食者所施加的延迟密度依赖引起的.
- 这些人口周期表现出混乱的行为,挑战了更简单的周期模型.
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