Notes on epidemiology of homicide in an urban area

Over the past 30 years, there was a slow but steady increase of the homicide rate in the United States. The increase was faster in the urban areas. In St. Louis, Missouri, the rate had increased from 7/100 000 in 1943 to 33/100 000 in 1973. The development of meaningful preventive measures depends upon repeated epidemiologic investigations to determine the changes in patterns of crime to see if our approach to the problem is still adequate to meet the need. The police records of 214 homicide victims in the city of St. Louis during 1973 were examined. Mean age of the victims was 35 years. Eighty-five per cent of them were men and 81% were black. There are 2 distinctly different profiles of homicide victims, "younger" under 30 years old, and "older" 30 years old and over. "Young" victims had a mean age of 21 years. They were more likely to be black, killed after an argument over money or property, or while committing a crime, and killed by a gun. There were more black victims killed by other blacks and the murderer was usually older (mean age 26 years). These homicides were less frequently victim-precipitated, killed by a relative or friend, or while drinking. "Older" victims had a mean age of 49 years. Among them there were more whites, more victim-precipitated and more victims drank prior to their death, while the murderer was usually younger (mean age 35 years).