Residency application statements can predict postresidency training

We sought to evaluate whether residency application statements regarding expected career paths are accurate predictors of early postresidency career paths. We evaluated 162 residents who completed a categorical medicine residency at Georgetown University Hospital between 1990 and 1998 to determine if their stated career plans (generalist practice, subspecialization, or undecided) at application predicted activity immediately after residency. Of 130 residents with defined postresidency plans at application, most 78 (60%) followed those career paths after graduation; 18 (67%) of 27 pursued their initial interest in generalist practice, and 60 (58%) of 103 pursued their stated interest in subspecialty training. We also noted a movement of residents toward generalism (79 [49%] of 162), despite low initial interest (27 [17%] of 162).