Predictors of outcome in a short-term psychiatric day hospital program

This study assessed selected chronicity, social support, and personality variables as predictors of outcome in a 3-week psychiatric day hospital program. Measured outcome included pre- and post-treatment scores on the BDI, STAI, and SCL-90-R from 224 patients. A single outcome variable based on the average standardized residual changes scores for these measures was derived to assess whether symptom severity at discharge was greater or less than predicted. Predictor variables were analysed using multiple regression. Chronicity variables predicted outcome, with patients hospitalized more than once and those with personality disorders more symptomatic than expected after treatment. Social support and personality variables failed to predict outcome; however, patients who scored higher on the MMPI Si scale were more symptomatic than expected at discharge. Although these results possess marginal clinical utility in terms of accounting for symptom change variation, this study overcame some methodological difficulties seen in prior day hospital literature. Future research should consider a prospective approach, including random treatment assignment, comprehensive and diverse outcome measures, and exploration of specific diagnostic groups.