Description of a new computer wire coding method and its application to evaluate potential control selection bias in...

We developed a new computer wire coding method and then applied it to investigate the suggestion that control selection bias might explain the observed association between wire codes and childhood cancer made in the study conducted by Savitz et al. in the Denver area. The computer wire coding method used a geographic information system approach with data on the local distribution electric system and from tax assessor records. Individual residences were represented as a circle scaled to the ground floor area of the residence and centered on the lot centroid. The wire code of the residence was determined from the distance between the circle and the relevant power line, and from the current carrying capacity of that line. Using this method, wire codes were generated for 238 290 residences built before 1986, the time of the Savitz et al. study, in the Denver metropolitan area. We then attempted to reconstruct the 1985 population of hypothetically eligible control children in the Denver metropolitan area by using 1980 census data. Since data were not available to locate the children in each residence within a census block, uniform, Poisson, and negative binomial distributions were used to randomly assign children to residences. To evaluate the likelihood of the wire code distribution of the controls selected by Savitz et al., 100 random trials were conducted for each distribution, matching two controls to each case. The odds ratios between childhood cancer and very high current configuration (VHCC) wire codes were reduced when the assigned controls were used, suggesting control selection bias may have been present. However, control selection bias is unlikely to account for all the reported association between childhood cancer and wire codes in the Savitz et al. study.