Predictive factors for response to endocrine therapy in patients with recurrent breast cancer

Predictive markers and variables for response to anticancer therapy provide cancer patients with refinement of therapeutic options and a decreased likelihood of receiving an ineffective therapy. The best-established predictive marker for response to endocrine therapy for breast cancer is the status of estrogen receptors (ER) in the primary breast tumor. However, although patients with ER-positive tumors have a greater than 50% objective response rate to endocrine therapy, other patients can not obtain an objective response. Therefore additional markers, such as better molecular biologic markers, are needed. Our previous study using multivariate analysis revealed that the ER status of primary tumors and the dominant site of metastasis are independent predictors for response to first-line endocrine therapy and that a response to first-line endocrine therapy is only an independent predictor for response to second-line endocrine therapy. However, all these factors are already well-established predictive markers for response to endocrine therapy. Recently, a number of new hormonal agents, such as more selective aromatase inhibitors and specific antiestrogens, have been developed and introduced. However, several questions, such as the best sequences when using hormonal agents, remain to be elucidated. On the other hand, several molecular biologic markers predicting response to endocrine therapy, such as the expression of the HER family of tyrosine kinase receptors, pS2, Bcl-2, and vascular endothelial growth factor, have been reported. To elucidate the most effective use of endocrine therapy for recurrent breast cancer, classical and new predictive factors for response to endocrine therapy are reviewed, and the clinical implications of these factors are discussed.