The histologic estimation of coronary artery stenoses: accuracy and the effect of lumen shape

The authors have recently investigated the histologic estimation of coronary artery stenoses (CAS) to determine its reproducibility and the effect of training on reproducibility. The present study extends this work, examining the accuracy, the sensitivity, and the specificity of the estimation of CAS. Further, the effect of one histologic variable (i.e., arterial lumen shape) on the evaluation of CAS is examined. As described previously, 20 randomly selected Movat-stained coronary artery cross-sections were reviewed three times, at 3-month intervals, by six clinical pathologists (CPs), six pathology residents (Res), seven anatomic pathologists (APs), and two cardiovascular pathologists (CVPs). Before the third iteration, training in CAS assessment was provided. In the present study, for comparison with observer estimates, image analysis was used to establish the actual percent CAS and determine observer accuracy. The results of this study showed, paradoxically, that greater experience did not correlate with greater accuracy: The CPs consistently had the highest accuracy scores and the CVPs consistently had the lowest. Training, however, improved the accuracy scores of all groups. Stenotic arterial cross-sections with residual lumens showing concentric or eccentric polymorphous shapes were consistently underestimated compared to image analysis, while lumens with a eccentric slitlike shape were consistently overestimated.