Preoperative values of CA 15-3 and CEA as prognostic factors in breast cancer: a multivariate analysis

The role of circulating tumor markers in providing prognostic information has not been widely studied. In the current study, serum levels of the carbohydrate antigen 15-3 (CA 15-3) and carcinoembryonic antigen (CEA) were determined preoperatively in 364 breast cancer patients with no clinical signs of metastasis. The prognostic relevance of these markers for recurrence (175/364) and death of disease (104/175) was determined by Cox multivariate analysis, including the comparison with classical prognostic factors. High levels of both tumor markers were associated with aneuploid tumors with high S-phase fraction and high ornithine decarboxylase activity. CA 15-3 was highly associated with the number of positive lymph nodes and peritumoral lymphatic or blood vessel invasion. No significant associations were found between CEA or CA 15-3 levels and histologic grade, necrosis and steroid receptor status. In univariate analysis, preoperative values, using optimum cutoff values of CA 15-3 (40 U/ml) and CEA (6 ng/ml), were statistically significant for relapse-free survival and overall survival. In multivariate analysis, only node status, DNA ploidy and ornithine decarboxylase activity were independent predictors for relapse-free survival; the estrogen receptor status was a predictor of overall survival. In node-negative patients, ornithine decarboxylase activity was the only factor selected for relapse-free survival. In node-positive patients, the number of lymph nodes and DNA ploidy were the only variables selected for relapse-free survival or overall survival. Estrogen receptor and ornithine decarboxylase activity were excluded for relapse-free survival, but were significant prognostic factors for overall survival.