Reevaluation of T cell receptor excision circles as a measure of human recent thymic emigrants

The human thymus exports newly generated T cells to the periphery. As no markers have been identified for these recent thymic emigrants (RTE), it is presently impossible to measure human thymic output. T cell receptor excision circles (TREC) have been recently used to assess thymic output during both health and disease. Using a mathematical model, we quantify age-dependent changes both in the number of RTE generated per day and in TREC concentration during an 80-year lifespan. Through analyses, we demonstrate that RTE and peripheral T cell division have the same potential to affect TREC concentration at any age in healthy people. T cell death also influences TREC concentration, but to a lesser extent. During aging, our results indicate that thymic involution primarily induces an age-dependent decline in TREC concentrations within both CD4(+) and CD8(+) T cell populations. We further apply this model for studying TREC concentration during HIV-1 infection. Our analyses reveal that a decrease in thymic output is the major contributor to the decline in TREC concentration within CD4(+) T cells, whereas both increased peripheral T cell division and decreased thymic output induce the decline in TREC concentration within CD8(+) T cells. Therefore, we suggest that T cell turnover should be examined together with TREC concentration as a measure of RTE. If peripheral T cell division remains relatively unchanged, then TREC concentration indeed reflects thymic output.