Jove
Visualize
Contact Us
JoVE
x logofacebook logolinkedin logoyoutube logo
ABOUT JoVE
OverviewLeadershipBlogJoVE Help Center
AUTHORS
Publishing ProcessEditorial BoardScope & PoliciesPeer ReviewFAQSubmit
LIBRARIANS
TestimonialsSubscriptionsAccessResourcesLibrary Advisory BoardFAQ
RESEARCH
JoVE JournalMethods CollectionsJoVE Encyclopedia of ExperimentsArchive
EDUCATION
JoVE CoreJoVE BusinessJoVE Science EducationJoVE Lab ManualFaculty Resource CenterFaculty Site
Terms & Conditions of Use
Privacy Policy
Policies

Related Experiment Videos

Tools and techniques for developing policies for complex and uncertain systems.

Steven C Bankes1

  • 1RAND, 1700 Main Street, Santa Monica, CA 90407, USA. Steven_Bankes@rand.org

Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America
|May 9, 2002
PubMed
Summary
This summary is machine-generated.

Related Concept Videos

You might also read

Related Articles

Articles linked to this work by shared authors, journal, and citation graph.

Sort by
Same author

Shaping the future.

Scientific American·2005
Same author

Agent-based modeling: a revolution?

Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America·2002
Same journal

Chemotactic self-organization captures the dynamics of mammalian hair follicle patterning.

Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America·2026
Same journal

Tomographic imaging of superconducting order using particle-hole interference.

Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America·2026
Same journal

Inhibitory potential of autologous neutralizing antibodies sets quantitative limits on the rebound-competent HIV-1 reservoir.

Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America·2026
Same journal

Inferring epidemiological parameters under an infectious phylogeography model with visitor dynamics.

Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America·2026
Same journal

Analytical modeling for suction cup designs for skin-interfaced wearable devices.

Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America·2026
Same journal

Improving cell-free metabolism through direct integration of artificial respiratory chains.

Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America·2026
See all related articles

Agent-based models (ABM) present challenges for traditional policy analysis due to their complexity. This study proposes a novel decision theory approach for reliable policy analysis with ABM.

Area of Science:

  • Complex adaptive systems
  • Agent-based modeling
  • Policy analysis

Background:

  • Agent-based models (ABM) are complex adaptive systems.
  • Standard policy analysis tools are unreliable for ABM due to inherent unpredictability.
  • Predicting future system behavior with ABM requires advanced methods.

Purpose of the Study:

  • To propose an alternative decision theory approach for policy analysis using ABM.
  • To describe the general characteristics of this new approach.
  • To provide examples of its application in policy analysis.

Main Methods:

  • Conceptual framework development for decision theory in ABM.
  • Description of the general characteristics of the proposed approach.
  • Illustrative case studies applying the approach to policy analysis.

Related Experiment Videos

Main Results:

  • Standard policy analysis is inadequate for complex adaptive systems modeled by ABM.
  • An alternative decision theory framework is necessary for reliable ABM policy analysis.
  • The proposed approach offers a viable method for making policy decisions with ABM.

Conclusions:

  • Policy analysis using ABM necessitates a departure from traditional decision theory.
  • The presented approach provides a robust framework for decision-making in complex adaptive systems.
  • This work facilitates more effective policy formulation and evaluation in dynamic environments.