Fertility trends in Indonesia, 1967-1985

Area of Science:

• Demography
• Public Health
• Sociology

Background:

• Analyzing fertility trends in Indonesia from 1967 to 1985.
• Utilizing data from national censuses and surveys for comprehensive demographic insights.

Purpose of the Study:

• To examine fertility rates across Indonesian provinces.
• To assess fertility patterns based on marital status and general population data.
• To evaluate sociocultural factors influencing data reliability and the 'date of last birth' method.

Main Methods:

• Analysis of Indonesian census data (1971, 1980).
• Inclusion of data from the 1985 Intercensal Survey (SUPAS 85).
• Examination of fertility rates by province and marital status.

Main Results:

• Confirmed a major fertility decline throughout Indonesia.
• Observed an accelerated pace of fertility decline in 1980-1985 compared to the 1970s.
• Indicated a potential to halve fertility rates between 1979 and 1990 based on current trends.

Conclusions:

• Fertility decline in Indonesia is substantial and ongoing.
• The rapid decline in recent years suggests successful population control measures.
• The study supports the feasibility of achieving ambitious national fertility reduction goals.