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Comparison of microcomputer programs for making population projections: an update.

N J Mcgirr, S O Rutstein

    Mathematical Population Studies
    |January 1, 1988
    PubMed
    Summary
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    This review compares six microcomputer population projection programs based on criteria like data needs and methodology. It assesses their performance with diverse demographic assumptions for accurate population forecasting.

    Area of Science:

    • Demography
    • Computer Science
    • Population Studies

    Background:

    • Numerous microcomputer programs exist for population projection.
    • Evaluating these tools is crucial for researchers and planners.

    Purpose of the Study:

    • To review and compare six leading microcomputer population projection programs.
    • To assess their suitability for various demographic scenarios.

    Main Methods:

    • Comparative analysis of six population projection software.
    • Evaluation based on hardware/software needs, data input, assumptions, methodology, documentation, and output.
    • Testing with diverse mortality, fertility, and migration data sets.

    Main Results:

    • Detailed comparison of program features and performance.
    Keywords:
    Comparative StudiesComputer Programs And ProgrammingComputersEstimation TechnicsEvaluationEvaluation ReportInformationInformation ProcessingMicrocomputersPopulation ProjectionQualitative EvaluationResearch MethodologyWorld

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  • Numerical and qualitative assessment of projection accuracy and usability.
  • Identification of strengths and weaknesses for each reviewed program.
  • Conclusions:

    • The study provides a comprehensive guide for selecting appropriate population projection software.
    • Informed decision-making for demographic analysis and planning is facilitated.
    • Highlights the importance of considering specific assumptions for accurate forecasting.