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Migration reversals in perspective: the long-wave evidence.
Summary
Long-wave theory explains migration patterns, showing 55-year urbanward migration waves in the US. These migration shifts coincided with major economic stagflation crises, offering a long-term perspective on population movements.
Area of Science:
- Sociology
- Economics
- Urban Studies
Background:
- Vining and Pallone observed polarization reversal and core-ward migration in the US.
- These patterns appear problematic from a short-term viewpoint.
Purpose of the Study:
- To analyze US migration patterns within a long-wave economic context.
- To reconcile observed migration shifts with long-wave theory.
Main Methods:
- Analysis of historical migration data in the United States.
- Application of long-wave economic theory to interpret migration trends.
Main Results:
- Identified 55-year waves of urbanward migration.
- Observed that migration nadirs occurred during major stagflation crises.
Conclusions:
- The observed migration patterns are understandable within a long-wave economic framework.
- Periodic migration phenomena support the relevance of long-wave theory for understanding societal changes.