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On the improvement of demographic forecasting in Poland
Abstract:
"In the paper attempts at improving demographic projections, undertaken in Poland in the late 1980s, are discussed." The focus is on the use of the LIPRO (LIfe-style PROjections) model, developed by the Netherlands Interdisciplinary Demographic Institute. The model is used "to project changes in marital composition of Poland's population by place of residence (urban/rural areas) till 2050.... In the paper, the brief description of the marital status version of the LIPRO model is given and the selected results of projections for the period 1985-2050 are discussed to illustrate the usefulness of that approach."