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A model of temporary migration: the Egyptian case.

H Y Aly, M P Shields

    International Migration (Geneva, Switzerland)
    |January 1, 1996
    PubMed
    Summary
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    This study introduces a family migration model explaining voluntary, temporary migration driven by regional differences. It analyzes Egyptian migration to the Gulf using a household production model and the 1982 Egyptian Fertility Survey.

    Area of Science:

    • Economics
    • Sociology
    • Demography

    Background:

    • Regional disparities in amenities and wages drive migration.
    • Temporary migration is a significant demographic phenomenon, particularly from Egypt to the Gulf region.
    • Pre-Gulf War migration patterns differed significantly from post-war patterns.

    Purpose of the Study:

    • To introduce and test a family migration model.
    • To analyze Egyptian temporary migration to the Gulf region.
    • To understand the drivers of voluntary, temporary migration.

    Main Methods:

    • Development of a two-period household production model.
    • Empirical testing using the 1982 Egyptian Fertility Survey data.
    • Analysis of temporary migration patterns before the Gulf War.
    Keywords:
    AfricaArab CountriesDemographic FactorsDeveloping CountriesEconomic FactorsEgyptFamily And HouseholdInternational MigrationMacroeconomic FactorsMediterranean CountriesMigrationModels, TheoreticalNorthern AfricaPopulationPopulation DynamicsResearch MethodologySocioeconomic FactorsSocioeconomic StatusTemporary MigrationWages

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    Main Results:

    • The model explains voluntary, temporary migration based on regional economic and amenity differences.
    • The 1982 survey data provides a unique snapshot of peak Egyptian temporary migration.
    • The study highlights the distinct migration dynamics before the Gulf War.

    Conclusions:

    • Family migration decisions are influenced by regional economic factors and amenities.
    • Temporary migration models are crucial for understanding labor mobility.
    • The findings offer insights into historical Egyptian migration patterns to the Gulf.