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Aging in China: demographic alternatives.

N Ogawa

    Asia-Pacific Population Journal
    |September 1, 1988
    PubMed
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    China

    Area of Science:

    • Demography
    • Gerontology
    • Public Health

    Background:

    • China faces significant demographic shifts due to its aging population.
    • Understanding future population trends is crucial for policy development.

    Purpose of the Study:

    • To project China's future population aging.
    • To analyze the impact of mortality improvements on population aging.

    Main Methods:

    • Utilized population projections based on 1982 Census data.
    • Incorporated three alternative mortality assumptions.
    • Focused on the influence of mortality on aging trends.

    Main Results:

    • Projections indicate an acceleration of population aging in China, especially post-2000.
    Keywords:
    Age Distribution--changesAge FactorsAsiaChinaDemographic AgingDemographic FactorsDependency BurdenDeveloping CountriesEastern AsiaEconomic FactorsEstimation TechnicsFinancial ActivitiesGoalsMicroeconomic FactorsMortality--changesOrganization And AdministrationPlanningPolicyPopulationPopulation CharacteristicsPopulation DynamicsPopulation ForecastPopulation Growth EstimationPopulation Growth--changesPopulation PolicyPopulation ProjectionResearch MethodologyResource Allocation--changesSocial PolicySocioeconomic Factors

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  • All scenarios show a growing elderly population and a declining youth population.
  • Significant shifts in age composition are evident.
  • Conclusions:

    • China's aging process is set to accelerate.
    • Policy adjustments are necessary to address the changing age structure.
    • Resource reallocation is required to support the elderly and fewer young people.