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Published on: May 13, 2012
A dynamic model of interregional migration flows in Great Britain
Journal of Regional Science
|August 1, 1984
Summary
This study models Great Britain migration dynamics using National Health Service Central Register data. Results reveal significant, lengthy lags in migration responses to regional factors.
Area of Science:
- Demography
- Econometrics
- Spatial Analysis
Background:
- Migration patterns are crucial for understanding population dynamics and regional development.
- Previous time-series analyses of migration flows have limitations in capturing dynamic relationships.
Purpose of the Study:
- To construct a dynamic migration model for Great Britain using time-series data.
- To analyze migration patterns of working-age males from 1975 to 1979.
Main Methods:
- Developed a novel two-stage methodology for time-series migration analysis.
- Employed a two-stream gravity model to derive regional push-pull factors based on revealed preferences.
- Related regional characteristics to migration flows within a dynamic framework, separating national volume from directional factors.
Main Results:
- Identified key factors influencing national migration volume and internal flow direction.
- Revealed significant dynamic responses and lengthy lags in migration relationships, despite data limitations.
- Quantified distance sensitivity in migration flows.
Conclusions:
- The dynamic model provides insights into the complex, lagged nature of migration.
- The methodology offers an advancement over previous time-series migration flow studies.
- Findings highlight the importance of considering temporal dynamics in migration research.
Keywords:
Demographic FactorsDeveloped CountriesEconomic FactorsEconomic ModelEuropeGeographic FactorsMathematical ModelMigrants--menMigrationMigration, InternalModels, TheoreticalNorthern EuropePopulationPopulation DynamicsResearch MethodologySocioeconomic FactorsTime FactorsUnited KingdomMore Related Videos
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