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Constructing fertility tables for Soviet populations.

|February 1, 1976

Summary

This summary is machine-generated.

This study estimates ethnic fertility in the Soviet Union using 1959 census data. It reveals significant variations, with Ukrainians having the lowest fertility rates compared to other ethnic groups like Kazakhs.

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Area of Science:

Demography
Sociology
Population Studies

Background:

1970 Soviet Union census lacks detailed ethnic and sex-specific age structure data.
1959 USSR census data is utilized to infer ethnic fertility patterns.

Purpose of the Study:

To estimate ethnic fertility rates in the Soviet Union using demographic modeling.
To analyze variations in fertility across different ethnic groups within the USSR.

Main Methods:

A demographic model incorporating 1959 child-woman ratios, female age structure, and assumed age-specific birth rates.
Estimation of total births for 1960 based on the child-woman ratio.
Comparison of estimated ethnic fertility with official Soviet birth rate calculations.

Main Results:

Ukrainians exhibited the lowest fertility among Slavic populations (2.07 children/woman).
Kazakhs showed significantly higher fertility (estimated 8.59 children/woman) compared to Ukrainians.
Substantial fertility variations were observed among nationalities in the Caucasus, Volga Basin, and Siberia.

Conclusions:

The study highlights significant ethnic disparities in fertility within the Soviet Union.
The demographic model provides a method for estimating fertility in data-scarce populations.
Findings underscore the importance of ethnic-specific demographic analysis.