Analysis of mortality decline along with age and latent congenital defects

Josef Dolejs1

  • 1National Radiation Protection Institute, Pileticka 57, Hradec Kralove 50003, Czech Republic. djosef@post.cz

Insights

Mortality from congenital anomalies decreases with age, explained by the theory of congenital individual risk. This theory accurately models mortality decline for most diseases, except malignant neoplasms.

Area of Science:

  • Pediatrics
  • Public Health
  • Genetics

Background:

  • Mortality from congenital anomalies shows an inverse relationship with age post-1 year.
  • The theory of congenital individual risk posits that this decline is due to the attrition of more severely affected individuals.

Purpose of the Study:

  • To evaluate the applicability of the theory of congenital individual risk to mortality decline across all diseases.
  • To assess if the theory explains mortality trends within the first year of life and beyond.

Main Methods:

  • Analysis of mortality data across five countries for all causes of death.
  • Examination of age-dependent mortality patterns in relation to congenital anomalies.

Main Results:

  • The theory of congenital individual risk effectively describes mortality decline for most diseases after birth, excluding malignant neoplasms.
  • Mortality decline is attributed to the elimination of individuals with higher risks, with pre-birth selection being dominant.
  • Congenital defects contribute to mortality from infectious diseases before age 10.
  • Malignant neoplasms exhibit age-independent mortality between 1-20 years, lacking a distinct high-risk subpopulation.

Conclusions:

  • The theory of congenital individual risk provides a robust framework for understanding age-related mortality decline in congenital anomalies.
  • Significant deviations in mortality patterns, particularly for malignant neoplasms, warrant further investigation into underlying etiological factors.

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